Not everyone. Crashing fertility rates—especially in the developing world—is a good development. It’s only a problem for the high IQ segment of mostly high IQ societies.
That sinking feeling about America's future when you find out that only the less educated from each racial group are above the population replacement rate and the most educated are well below it.
Genes associated with higher education are associated with fewer children (lower education with more children).
Neat new result for three generations of American data:
The more a polygenic score is related to education, the more negatively it's related to relative lifetime reproductive success (RLRS).
Or in other words, there's natural selection against education and its correlates!
Are humans still evolving? A new study looks at natural selection in modern Americans. It finds that genes associated with educational attainment are being selected against, while genes associated with depression, asthma, and earlier first birth are being favored.
People with a higher genetic predisposition for education and IQ have a lower genetic predisposition for reproductive success. BMI, bodyfat, hip-circumference, waist-circumference, waist-hip-ratio show positive genetic correlation with reproductive success buff.ly/2CX3v26
"the genetic basis of intelligence is declining due to the most intelligent people tending to have the fewest children, as fictionally depicted in the movie Idiocracy...recent research has indicated that such a dysgenic trend is indeed occurring"
The total fertility rate for women who failed to obtain a high school diploma is about twice that of women who obtained a college degree.
Its the concept of R vs K type selection.
Poor people are R-type and have as many kids as possible. Each has little investment because the non-competitive environment doesn't require it. Maximizing survival is about obtaining resources as quickly as possible.
To be fair, the religious are the people who are doing the bulk of the breeding so of course in future decades they will dominate the conversation.
Blessed are the religious. Who truly believe God exists and the sole purpose of life is to reproduce.
For they shall inherit the task of managing AI
If you don't like the religious whittering on endlessly, perhaps have more spicy and sciencey babies. But alas, alack, thou shalt not.
300m Amish in America in 2200s if they keep up pace of last 100 for next 200 years t.co/XcDFq8voyi
Something I’ve read recently that is utterly mind boggling is ultra orthodox Hasidic women gave birth to 8-9% of all babies last year in NYC and Long Island.
Religion, race and fertility (USA).
Asians really low.
Religiousness is associated with greater reproductive success in contemporary humans, particularly in males. cambridge.org/core/journals/
Recently heard on a podcast saying in the short term, people are becoming more secular but in the long run, because of differential fertility patterns, the religious shall inherit the earth.
I'm Looking For A Picture Of A Pregnant Female With A Tattoo Of A Crucifix On Her Belly And Scripture Written On The Rest Of Her Body (Biblical Passages On The Head, Torso, And Appendages). This Family Picture Will Have To Do Until I Find A Photo Of A Girl Like The One I Just Described.
https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1432002991079501824
Be fruitful and multiply. (Yahweh, 8th Century BCE)
If You Likes It Putta Ring On It!
Religious Doctrine, Religious Belief Function The Same As This Roman Legislation - Encourages And Some Instances Mandates Reproduction.
https://methalashun.blogspot.com/2015/11/the-bigg-picture.html
"Some Call It A Problem, But I Call It A Gift!" - Exhibit A
Religion is just one, particularly salient, example. There are many other systematic cognitive errors that would fall under this classification. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20105353/
The Human Mind Didn't Evolved To Acquire And Apply Beliefs That Are True. It Evolved To Acquire And Apply Beliefs That Aid In Social Survival And Reproduction And These Beliefs Are Often Untrue.
“our brains were shaped for fitness, not for truth. Sometimes truth is adaptive, but sometimes it is not. Conflicts of interest are inherent to the human condition, and we are apt to want our version of the truth, rather than the truth itself, to prevail”
https://veryayshun.blogspot.com/2014/02/why-do-i-believe-dont-stop-believing.html
Religiosity As A Mating Strategy!
http://methalashun.blogspot.com/2015/01/dont-ever-put-yourself-in-my-category.html
https://vengeanceizmine.blogspot.com/2015/01/most-male-behavior-is-unconsciously.html
Roman emperors, for example, created harems of females guarded by eunuchs, while Joseph Smith, when he founded the Mormon religion, formalized polygamy, arguing that God wouldn't have made women so enticing if he wanted to limit a man to one woman.
However, Smith was keen to note that the same rules didn't apply to women.
In his handwritten documents, Smith relays how the Lord told him: "And if he have ten virgins given unto him by this law, he cannot commit adultery, for they belong to him… But if one or either of the ten virgins, after she is espoused, shall be with another man, she has committed adultery, and shall be destroyed… according to my commandment."
Not surprisingly, women often find this sexual hypocrisy baffling and logically inconsistent.
Questions every person claiming polygyny is a sin must answer Pt. 2
“If Biblical Polygyny is sin…
1. Why did God instruct men how to care for more than one wife? Can God instruct men how to sin? Exodus 21:10
2. Why did God instruct men how to treat the wives and children of multiple wives? Can God instruct men how to sin? Deut. 21:15-17
3. Why did God meet face to face with an open polygynist (Moses), and have him write His laws in the first 5 books of the Bible, while never condemning him over the practice once? Moses married Zipporah and the unnamed Ethiopian woman. Exodus 2:21, Numbers 12:1
4. Why did God condemn Aaron and Miriam, and give Miriam leprosy for speaking against Moses’ second wife, the Ethiopian woman, calling it sin to speak against Moses? Numbers 12:8-11
5. Why is not one man condemned by God in scripture, calling it sinful, for taking multiple wives even once from Genesis to Revelation?
6. Why does God not call Biblical Polygyny sin (one man with multiple wives) one time in the entire Bible from Genesis to Revelation?
7. Why does God not list a man with multiple wives in His list of deviant sexual sin anywhere in scripture as He does with every other sinful sexual behavior. See Leviticus chapter 18.
8. Why are there 5 known polygynists in the Hall of Faith in Hebrews chapter 11, and only 1 known monogamist?
9. Why did God tell Abimelech that he had integrity for attempting to take a second wife (Gen. 20:6), when he already had a wife (Gen. 20:17)? God only stopped it because the woman he was seeking for a wife, Sarah, already had a husband.
10. Why did God tell Joash that he did right in the sight of the Lord by taking two wives? 2 Chron. 24:1-3
11. Why did Jehoida the priest, and a man of God who knew the law of God, give Joash two wives? Scripture states Jehoida did right before God. 2 Chron 24:1-3, 2 Chron 24:16.
12. Why did monogamist kings institute Baal and Ashtoreth worship, but when polygynist kings (such as Joash and Josiah) came to power, and instituted patriarchy, they served God with their whole heart and received praise from God, while tearing down the alters of Baal and groves of Ashtoreth? See examples throughout 1 and 2 Kings.
13. When Israel was sinning against God and worshipping other gods, making him angry, why did He continually send polygynist judges, such as Abdon, Gideon, Izban, and Jair to correct and restore Israel? See examples throughout the book of Judges.
14. Why did God command a man to take another wife, if his brother had died, by taking his brother’s wife and raising seed, whether or not he already had a wife (Levirate marriage)? Can God command men to sin? Deut. 25:5
15. Why did God, in the form of the Angel of the Lord, instruct Hagar to return to Abraham and Sarah and continue to live in a home that would be polygynists? Why did God not send her away if it were sinful to live in a polygynist home? Gen. 16:7-11
16. Why were the sons of Jacob from the 3 wives who were not his first wife not considered bastard sons, but legitimate sons of Israel, whom from God’s people and the Messiah came? Deut. 23:2
17. Why does the Bible say God rewarded Leah, by opening her womb, solely because she gave Jacob her handmaid as a wife? Gen 30:17-18
18. Why does God say that He gave David multiple wives, and would have given him more wives, if he had only asked, instead of committing adultery with another man’s wife, Bathsheba? Can God give men sinful things? 2 Sam. 12:7-8
19. Why does God condemn adultery in scripture as a married woman having sexual relations with someone not her husband, and not any other form of sexual activity? Lev. 20:10, Jeremiah 29:23, Lev. 18:20, Deut. 22:22
20. Why is it never called adultery one time in all the Bible, when a man, married or single, has sexual relations with a single woman who is available to him as a wife?
This take sounds good until you actually look at the men God used. The first man God formed a nation from, Jacob, built a household that literally became the twelve tribes of Israel through four wives. David’s household? Multiple wives. Gideon’s? Multiple wives. Moses’ lineage? Multiple wives in the mix. These were not “weak men trapped by fantasies.” These were the strongest, most disciplined, most God-focused men in the entire biblical storyline… and God blessed their households. If plural marriage was a “trap for weak men,” then Scripture is full of weak men God chose to lead His people. That makes no sense. What’s actually happening today is simple. Men are reading the text for themselves instead of outsourcing their theology to pastors who inherited Western romantic norms. They see that polygyny was regulated, honored, protected, and sometimes required by God’s own Law. They see that the New Testament never banned it. And they also see that monogamy-only culture has produced record levels of divorce, porn addiction, sexless marriages, and lonely single women. The weak fantasy is pretending monogamy-only has worked. A man with the strength, frame, provision, and spiritual order to lead multiple wives is the opposite of weak. It demands discipline, stability, and maturity that most modern men never develop because they were told they never needed to. The “trap” isn’t polygyny.
The real trap is defending a church tradition that has no biblical foundation and pretending it is God’s design.
